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Third Down Futility

The Chicago Bears' offense was not great on third down last season, especially when trying to run the ball. Recent analysis shows how bad it was, and what can be done to fix it.

Football Outsiders has developed a fairly recent metric called Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA). For NFL running backs, this number represents value, per play, over an average ball carrier in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense. Using DVOA, frequent Bear Report magazine...

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